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global warming

El Nino describes a periodic warming of surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, a pattern that shifts weather systems worldwide and typically raises average global temperatures for the period it is active. The WMO's latest assessment is that this cycle will not just persist but strengthen between now and October, meaning the warming effects already being felt in various regions are expected to become more pronounced rather than plateau.

  • The WMO forecasts intensification of El Nino conditions through October 2026.
  • Hotter-than-normal conditions are considered likely across nearly every land area globally during this period.
  • Sustained temperatures above 29C in parts of the tropics have been flagged by forecasters as particularly noteworthy.
  • The forecast is intended to give governments lead time to prepare for droughts, floods and wildfires linked to the pattern.

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